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The Many Impacts of the Robotics Revolution

robotics technology future impact

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#1 RGCheek

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Posted 21 August 2016 - 01:09 PM


While I couldnt find an existing thread on this topic, I am sure the readers here have been doing some reading on the topic of robotics and how it will impact our society in the near future.

 

Well, I am not finding on the web much discussion of the economic and political impact here in the Western nations, specifically the USA so I thought I might kick start such a discussion here, if I may.  I apologize for the lengthiness of my post

 

Robotics have made huge strides over the past few years. The mangled URL below shows the most recent Atlas robot and it is impressive.  It is able to walk to a warehouse job, do the job despite deliberate interferance and then walk home through a snowy woodland.

(https)//www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVlhMGQgDkY&feature=youtu.be

 

What physical jobs it can do is limited only by its attachments and software. The one in the video did not have fine manipulation capability but that is merely a cost effectiveness choice. With the manifold developments in prosthetics, we will likely see them applied to robots soon.  Some have estimated that within five years most people in the USA will own a robot of some kind and the price range will be from $1000 to $2000.

 

The economic impact of Strong AI will be unavoidable also, and this Robotics Revolution will be the first major technological advance that will reduce jobs instead of multiplying them as there will be robots to maintain, repair, and build other robots soon.  I am thinking the job categories, with required tech advancement in parens, that robots will enter into and eventually dominate will be something along these lines of sequence, each taking maybe three to five years beyond the previous phase completion:

 

Unskilled labor (mobility, long life deep cycle batteries) -> skilled labor (onboard advanced AI with wireless connection to main frame database) -> managerial positions (basic social skills) -> engineering (advanced social skills and mainframe database for these specialties) ->   advanced degrees that require human interactions skills (human simulant technology indistinguishable from actual human beings)

 

The over all impact is that certainly by 2050 (if not much sooner) all jobs today will be within the capability of some variation of android robot. This will also impact government revenues and the psychology of many Westerners who think of their personal fulfillment in terms of a career.  There will need to be four large scale responses: 1. Adoption of a Nordic Model form of Socialism similar to Denmark and Norway. 2. Welfare will have to be replaced in all its forms (other than government pensions and social security) with a Universal Basic Income payment that will allow for people to survive.  3. We will need to encourage people to think of their purpose in life in the form of self fulfilling hobbies, crafts and philosophy/theology/spiritualism instead of being achieved by income and/or a career. 4. Impose a Robot tax on businesses that replace human labor with robotic labor. This will be at the same amount as the job the human who could have done would have paid. This would continue to fund the government and programs to keep people feeling a sense of security.

 

The second more immediate impact will be in the approach and perceived need for immigration (legal and illegal) in the West. The perceived need will crater into strong repulsion almost over night as robots will replace immigrants in cheap labor jobs and they self deport. The leftward ideologies that have been built on Identity Politics and taking a dismissive view of the predominant demographic groups in the West will start changing into a less welcoming format almost as quickly as robots roll off the assembly line.  The transition will take time, but as politics begins to focus almost entirely on job mongering policies, the alien will be increasingly unwelcome. New attitudes from a mild Denmarkish low benefits to aliens policy to a more robust rejection and imprisonment will become the dominant views of illegal immigration. Legal immigration will return to only those professions that have severe shortages.  The cyclic nature of politics will have some catalytic affect on this transition as well.

 

The next two decades will prove to be very interesting with all that implies, I strongly suspect.

 

 

 


Edited by RGCheek, 21 August 2016 - 01:19 PM.





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