You are judging everything by human standards and desires
Of course I am. What other standards are there? You personify the genome and evolution as if it's some entity. Or do you have some knowledge of an alien race that designed our genome and are defending their creation against what we'd like to create?
You place too much faith in man's abilities to maintain life and too little faith in the history...
I don't put faith in anything. Faith is reserved for spiritual thinking of which I have no interest in discussing. I do believe that it's possible to accomplish many a great things with our minds including vastly longer lifespans and near-perfect health and yes it's possible that the things we accomplish may destroy us
Artificial versions would have to be continually developed and replaced - costing billions
So? It would fuel the economy and all of the parts could be recycled.
organically grown organs require only a host animal which costs only a few thousand dollars over their entire life spans
Again, there is no evidence that artificial organs will be mass produced
Correct. It's a vision rather than something that currently exists. Visions are required for laying out a roadmap as to how something can be accomplished. There's no evidence that better energy sources will be developed either but it will likely happen because we can envision it happening, theorize as to what research to pursue and then work on the hurdles that block us from achieving that vision. Same goes for artificial organs that are superior to human organs. Companies envision replacement organs and build them without any evidence that they will work and then test them to see if they do. If they do, they deploy them to the market and we have people walking around with dialysis devices, artificial pumps and other implants. Other than birds, there was no evidence that airplanes could be engineered and mass produced but visionaries kept hammering away at it until someone figured out how to do it. Your evidence as a requirement model that something defintely won't happen is naive at best.
nor that they will even be comparable alternatives to organic transplants.
Are you suggesting that their biochemical and physiological function is infinitely complex beyond human and AI comprehension? So complex that even massive amounts of computing power and simulation algorithms could not simulate their component parts? And that humans will never
ever be able to build engineering tools that can desing this level of sophistication no matter how many millenium pass? If that's the case then I'd hate to break it to you that humanity already has unintentially exceeded the complexity of biology in what it has engineered. If you aggregate all of the networks of systems, tools, software, roads, buildings, sewer systems, electric grids, computer networks, electronic devices, scientific measurement tools that we have designed and view them as a whole it far exceeds the complexity of human biology. We did this in a couple of millenium with our imaginations. Human biology is a different type of complexity but it can and will be reserve engineered barring catastrophe. The human mind will not be able to understand the system as a whole anytime soon but all of the data can be mapped in silico and custom tailored algorithms and software will emerge that allows us to slow down and view the femptosecond biochemical reactions with atomic precision. We are alreading simulating protein folding with molecular dynamics in silico and simulations are being built now that work across numerous biochemical pathways and protein interaction neworks. Every wall we hit in regards to untangling this complexity will simply trigger another round design and innovation for tackling the next level of complexity and then reworking the models to integrate those complexities. This process will continue until we have full working models of all relevent physiological function. From these models we will be able to engineer better tools for repairing and replacing them.
What do you propose will stop any of this progress from happening? Because we can't do it today isn't a valid answer. And there is plenty of evidence we are moving in this direction. Go read some literature on computational chemistry, molecular modeling, protein interaction networks and you'll see all of the precursors for what I describe above starting to emerge. Yes there are many missing pieces such as computing horsepower and huge swathes of biodata that we still need to collect but that's happening to, and not just in animal models.
Yes. Natural organs are prone to failure, but synthetic versions are even more problamatic and this does not seem to be improving.
You are wrong. Artificial organs are being improved in every fashion. Natural organs are not improving unless your willing to wait a few million years. If I were to put my money on which ones will improve faster over the next 50 years it wouldn't be on the ones working in my body right now. In fact the data suggests that all of these are destined to fail. Today the trend is towards biological, tissue and genetic engineered and lab-grown versions but when once the technology permits, simpler synthetic versions will prevail.
How can we predict the outcomes of synthetic organs and organisms? How can we gurantee that our artificial creations will eventually destroy the hands that created them? For example, if we designed a respiratory system which allows human beings to live in a CO2 dominant atmosphere, what is preventing these people from using it against natural humans, manipulating our air so that it is toxic to most humans but not these modified beings? What is to prevent genetically engineered humans who can live off of the moon's inorganic elements from taking over earth by destroying the organic food supply?
These are all just imagined fears of technology. One could dream up an infinite list of these for present day technology, past technologies and even for a world where there is none. I could easily come up with a lengthy list of scary scenarios that demonstrate why these interventions are necessary in our modern world.
The costs of not doing these improvements are not costs at all, but rather money saved.
There are costs besides money. We collectively and individually assign value to things. I value my health and leisure time and would like to maximize both. Others do as well thus for those of us that value these there is a cost to not committing our resources to making improvements. When people assign value to such things markets respond.
Edited by maestro949, 26 November 2007 - 05:37 PM.