Thanks for taking the time to read that, though you clearly skimmed the blog entries. All I was substantiating was the assertion that SFA's are either neutral or occasionally beneficial. Wasn't necessarily trying to contradict some of the specifics you mentioned.
Claims certainly not substantiated. You may be under the impression that the paleo blogs reflect the current scientific consensus. They do no. Their usual tactic is to rely on short-term changes in variables such as dubious lab markerrs (lp(a)) is one example as noted above) or short-term weight loss. They usually ignore studies regarding what is important, morbidity and mortality studies, such as these collected from some of my previous discussions:
"The quality of dietary fat in relation to cardiovascular disease forms the basis of the diet-heart hypothesis. Current recommendations on dietary fat now emphasise quality rather than quantity. The focus of this review is to summarise the results from prospective cohort studies on dietary fat and cardiovascular disease outcomes. Relatively few prospective cohort studies have found an association between dietary fat quality and cardiovascular disease, partly because of limitations in estimating dietary intake. Saturated and trans fatty acids have increased cardiovascular risk in several studies. Both n-6 and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids have been associated with lower cardiovascular risk. Within the n-6 series, linoleic acid seems to decrease cardiovascular risk. Within the n-3 series the long-chain fatty acids (eicosapentaenoic and docosahexaenoic acids) are associated with decreased risk for especially fatal coronary outcomes, whereas the role of alpha-linolenic acid is less clear. Dietary fat quality also influences the activity of enzymes involved in the desaturation of fatty acids in the body. Serum desaturase indices have been consistently associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Data from metabolic and clinical studies reinforce findings from observational studies supporting recommendations to replace saturated and trans fat with unsaturated fat in the prevention of cardiovascular disease."
http://www.ncbi.nlm....pubmed/18328267"OBJECTIVES: To determine by how much statins reduce serum concentrations of low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and incidence of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) events and stroke, according to drug, dose, and duration of treatment. DESIGN: Three meta-analyses: 164 short term randomised placebo controlled trials of six statins and LDL cholesterol reduction; 58 randomised trials of cholesterol lowering by any means and IHD events; and nine cohort studies and the same 58 trials on stoke. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Reductions in LDL cholesterol according to statin and dose; reduction in IHD events and stroke for a specified reduction in LDL cholesterol. RESULTS: Reductions in LDL cholesterol (in the 164 trials) were 2.8 mmol/l (60%) with rosuvastatin 80 mg/day, 2.6 mmol/l (55%) with atorvastatin 80 mg/day, 1.8 mmol/l (40%) with atorvastatin 10 mg/day, lovastatin 40 mg/day, simvastatin 40 mg/day, or rosuvastatin 5 mg/day, all from pretreatment concentrations of 4.8 mmol/l. Pravastatin and fluvastatin achieved smaller reductions. In the 58 trials, for an LDL cholesterol reduction of 1.0 mmol/l the risk of IHD events was reduced by 11% in the first year of treatment, 24% in the second year, 33% in years three to five, and by 36% thereafter (P < 0.001 for trend). IHD events were reduced by 20%, 31%, and 51% in trials grouped by LDL cholesterol reduction (means 0.5 mmol/l, 1.0 mmol/l, and 1.6 mmol/l) after results from first two years of treatment were excluded (P < 0.001 for trend). After several years a reduction of 1.8 mmol/l would reduce IHD events by an estimated 61%. Results from the same 58 trials, corroborated by results from the nine cohort studies, show that lowering LDL cholesterol decreases all stroke by 10% for a 1 mmol/l reduction and 17% for a 1.8 mmol/l reduction. Estimates allow for the fact that trials tended to recruit people with vascular disease, among whom the effect of LDL cholesterol reduction on stroke is greater because of their higher risk of thromboembolic stroke (rather than haemorrhagic stroke) compared with people in the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Statins can lower LDL cholesterol concentration by an average of 1.8 mmol/l which reduces the risk of IHD events by about 60% and stroke by 17%."
http://www.ncbi.nlm....pubmed/12829554 "
Objective: To assess the effect of reduction or modification
of dietary fat intake on total and cardiovascular mortality and
cardiovascular
morbidity.
Design: Systematic
review.
Data sources: Cochrane Library, Medline, Embase, CAB abstracts,
SIGLE, CVRCT registry, and biographies were searched; trials known
to experts were
included.
Included studies: Randomised controlled trials stating intention
to reduce or modify fat or cholesterol intake in healthy adult
participants over at least six months. Inclusion decisions, validity,
and data extraction were duplicated. Meta-analysis (random effects
methodology), meta-regression, and funnel plots were
performed.
Results: 27 studies (30 902 person years of observation)
were included. Alteration of dietary fat intake had small effects
on total mortality (rate ratio 0.98; 95% confidence interval 0.86
to 1.12). Cardiovascular mortality was reduced by 9% (0.91; 0.77
to 1.07) and cardiovascular events by 16% (0.84; 0.72 to 0.99),
which was attenuated (0.86; 0.72 to 1.03) in a sensitivity analysis
that excluded a trial using oily fish. Trials with at least two
years' follow up provided stronger evidence of protection from
cardiovascular events (0.76; 0.65 to 0.90).
Conclusions: There is a small but potentially important
reduction in cardiovascular risk with reduction or modification
of dietary fat intake, seen particularly in trials of longer
duration."
http://www.bmj.com/c...ct/322/7289/757"BACKGROUND: Results of previous randomised trials have shown that interventions that lower LDL cholesterol concentrations can significantly reduce the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and other major vascular events in a wide range of individuals. But each separate trial has limited power to assess particular outcomes or particular categories of participant. METHODS: A prospective meta-analysis of data from 90,056 individuals in 14 randomised trials of statins was done. Weighted estimates were obtained of effects on different clinical outcomes per 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol. FINDINGS: During a mean of 5 years, there were 8186 deaths, 14,348 individuals had major vascular events, and 5103 developed cancer. Mean LDL cholesterol differences at 1 year ranged from 0.35 mmol/L to 1.77 mmol/L (mean 1.09) in these trials. There was a 12% proportional reduction in all-cause mortality per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol (rate ratio [RR] 0.88, 95% CI 0.84-0.91; p<0.0001). This reflected a 19% reduction in coronary mortality (0.81, 0.76-0.85; p<0.0001), and non-significant reductions in non-coronary vascular mortality (0.93, 0.83-1.03; p=0.2) and non-vascular mortality (0.95, 0.90-1.01; p=0.1). There were corresponding reductions in myocardial infarction or coronary death (0.77, 0.74-0.80; p<0.0001), in the need for coronary revascularisation (0.76, 0.73-0.80; p<0.0001), in fatal or non-fatal stroke (0.83, 0.78-0.88; p<0.0001), and, combining these, of 21% in any such major vascular event (0.79, 0.77-0.81; p<0.0001). The proportional reduction in major vascular events differed significantly (p<0.0001) according to the absolute reduction in LDL cholesterol achieved, but not otherwise. These benefits were significant within the first year, but were greater in subsequent years. Taking all years together, the overall reduction of about one fifth per mmol/L LDL cholesterol reduction translated into 48 (95% CI 39-57) fewer participants having major vascular events per 1000 among those with pre-existing CHD at baseline, compared with 25 (19-31) per 1000 among participants with no such history. There was no evidence that statins increased the incidence of cancer overall (1.00, 0.95-1.06; p=0.9) or at any particular site. INTERPRETATION: Statin therapy can safely reduce the 5-year incidence of major coronary events, coronary revascularisation, and stroke by about one fifth per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol, largely irrespective of the initial lipid profile or other presenting characteristics. The absolute benefit relates chiefly to an individual's absolute risk of such events and to the absolute reduction in LDL cholesterol achieved. These findings reinforce the need to consider prolonged statin treatment with substantial LDL cholesterol reductions in all patients at high risk of any type of major vascular event."
http://www.ncbi.nlm....pubmed/16214597"Aims/hypothesis The aim of this study was to investigate the association of dietary macronutrient composition and energy density with the change in body weight and waist circumference and diabetes incidence in the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study.Subjects and methods Overweight, middle-aged men (
n=172) and women (
n=350) with impaired glucose tolerance were randomised to receive either 'standard care' (control) or intensive dietary and exercise counselling. Baseline and annual examinations included assessment of dietary intake with 3-day food records and diabetes status by repeated 75-g OGTTs. For these analyses the treatment groups were combined and only subjects with follow-up data (
n=500) were included.<a name="ASec3">Results Individuals with low fat (<median) and high fibre (>median) intakes lost more weight compared with those consuming a high-fat (>median), low-fibre (<median) diet (3.1 vs 0.7 kg after 3 years). In separate models, hazard ratios for diabetes incidence during a mean follow-up of 4.1 years were (highest compared with lowest quartile) 0.38 (95% CI 0.19–0.77) for fibre intake, 2.14 (95% CI 1.16–3.92) for fat intake, and 1.73 (95% CI 0.89–3.38) for saturated-fat intake, after adjustment for sex, intervention assignment, weight and weight change, physical activity, baseline 2-h plasma glucose and intake of the nutrient being investigated. Compared with the low-fat/high-fibre category, hazard ratios were 1.98 (95% CI 0.98–4.02), 2.68 (95% CI 1.40–5.10), and 1.89 (95% CI 1.09–3.30) for low-fat/low-fibre, high-fat/high-fibre, and high-fat/low-fibre, respectively.Conclusions/interpretation Dietary fat and fibre intake are significant predictors of sustained weight reduction and progression to type 2 diabetes in high-risk subjects, even after adjustment for other risk factors."
http://www.springerl...670082865607x6/"BACKGROUND: Some previous prospective studies showed that dietary intake of omega3 polyunsaturated fatty acids was associated with lower risk of heart failure (HF), but no study has examined the association between plasma fatty acids and HF. METHODS: We included 3,592 white participants from the Minneapolis field center of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, aged 45 to 64 at baseline (1987-1989), initially free of coronary heart disease, stroke, and HF and who had cholesterol ester and phospholipid plasma fatty acids measured. Participants were followed through 2003, and incident HF was defined by a hospital discharge or death including a HF International Classification of Diseases code. RESULTS: During the 14.3-year follow-up, we identified 197 cases of HF (110 for men and 87 for women). After adjustment for age and other confounders, higher saturated fatty acids, especially myristic (14:0) acid, were associated positively with incident HF in both men and women. Higher arachidonic (20:3,omega6) and long-chain omega3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, especially docosahexaenoic (22:6,omega3) acid, were associated inversely with HF in women but not in men. Neither plasma alpha-linolenic nor eicosapentaenoic acid was associated with incident HF. CONCLUSIONS: In both men and women, greater levels of saturated fatty acids may increase risk of HF. In women, arachidonic acid and long-chain omega3 polyunsaturated fatty acids may decrease risk of HF."
http://www.ncbi.nlm....pubmed/19061714As for lowering LDL as a means of reducing CVD risk, I'm not convinced there is any significant benefit (http://content.onlin.../full/44/5/1009), though raising HDL does seem to be significant (to raise HDL consume lauric acid, niacin). Increasing the average size of LDL particles also seems to have a benefit (http://www.cli-onlin...dex.php?id=2120) (to increase LDL particle size: consume palmitic acid, niacin, eliminate fructose). The mention of Lp(a) was part of a description of athersclerosis reversal. Perhaps the Lp(a) lowering was incidental to the process, but the fact that it was lowest during the reversal process in all known cases of reversal makes me perk up. Also, Lp(a) does seem to have it's own distinct correlation with CVD risk (http://www.mayoclini...8/june-06b.html) even if it is smaller than the correlation for LDL (to lower Lp(a), consume butyric acid, niacin).
As for the blog, that one doctor is one of a small group of doctors (Track Your Plaque) getting athersclerotic reversal through diet (wheat free, low carb, high fat, whole foods), niacin, Vitamin D3, and fish oil. Blood lipid targets: free TriG 60 mg/dl, LDL-C 60 mg/dl large particles, HDL 60 mg/dl large particles, D3 60ng/ml, Lp(a) 0. Though not everyone gets reversal, just about everyone stops further atheroma growth. And many individuals are observing reductions in the measured size of atheromas, without statins or any other prescription drugs, and perhaps most surprising to those who believe in the lipid hypothesis, it happens only on a high-fat, high-saturated-fat, high-dietary-cholesterol diet. Other cardiologists don't believe that reversal is possible or that it is a spontaneous process that defies explanation. I'm going with the group actually getting reversal.
Regarding the blog doctor, with multiple supplement and diet changes it is impossible to tell what is the effect of the diet. For example, there are many case reports that high-dose D3 by itself will greatly increase HDL, far greater increases than the small change on HDL seen from lowering carbohydrates seen in studies.
Regarding what lab markers are important for CVD, see this 2008 consensus statement by the
American Diabetes Association and the American College of Cardiology Foundation
http://content.onlin...acc.2008.02.034Some extracts:
"A large body of research, ranging from molecular to population
studies, indicates that elevated LDL cholesterol is a major
predictor of CVD, including in populations with CMR or diabetes.
"
"The size of LDL particles can also be measured. As small dense
LDL particles seem to be particularly atherogenic (
30), assessment
of particle size has intuitive appeal. Both LDL particle concentration
and LDL size are important predictors of CVD (
31). However,
the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis suggested that on
multivariate analyses, both small and large LDL were strongly
associated with carotid intima-media thickness (
24), while the
Veterans Affairs High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Intervention
Trial (VA-HIT) showed that both were significantly related to
coronary heart disease (CHD) events (
28). The association of
small LDL and CVD may simply reflect the increased number of
LDL particles in patients with small LDL. Hence, it is unclear
whether LDL particle size measurements add value to measurement
of LDL particle concentration."
" Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], an apoB-containing LDL-like particle
with enhanced binding to intimal proteoglycans and prothrombotic
effect, also predicts CVD. There is little evidence that insulin
resistance or diabetes influences Lp(a) concentrations. The
clinical utility of routine measurement of Lp(a) is unclear,
although more aggressive control of other lipoprotein parameters
may be warranted in those with high concentrations of Lp(a)."
"Measurements of HDL
subfractions or apoA1 appear to provide little clinical value
beyond measurements of HDL cholesterol (
49)."
"In the fasting state, plasma triglycerides are primarily found
in VLDL, so plasma triglyceride measurements are used as a surrogate
measure of VLDL. Triglycerides are a univariate predictor of
CVD in many studies but often not an independent predictor in
multivariate analyses. This may be because triglycerides are
highly linked to abnormalities in HDL and LDL and because of
high biological and laboratory variability. Similarly, there
are no clinical trial data establishing that lowering triglycerides
in individuals with or without diabetes independently leads
to lower CVD event rates when one adjusts for changes in HDL
cholesterol.
Chylomicron remnants may be atherogenic in a manner similar
to VLDL remnants. There is little population-based evidence
that chylomicron remnants are linked to CVD, but several studies
show consistent elevations of chylomicron remnants in individuals
with familial combined hyperlipidemia and diabetes, conditions
associated with atherosclerosis. Measures of chylomicron remnants
are not readily available."
In short, the favorite lab tests the paleo blogs like to cite (except HDL) as support are of little value.
Edited by Blue, 28 October 2009 - 04:28 PM.