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Japanese Data Indicate No Upper Bound on Lifespan


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#1 kevin

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Posted 03 August 2005 - 01:34 PM


Link: http://library.soa.o...05-1_XXXIII.pdf

The statistics are a bit beyond me but I was heartened to read the conclusion.

Link to Program and Papers of "Living to 100 and Beyond" conference of the "Society of Actuaries"
http://www.soa.org/c...yond-monograph/



For the Japanese data, the GEV distribution fit by an r-largest approach provided a reasonable fit. For that data set, confidence intervals for ù supported our belief that there is no finite upper bound on the distribution of human life spans.



#2 Mind

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Posted 03 August 2005 - 02:29 PM

I read the PDF but I didn't see any of the tables or charts. Anyway, it sure sounds familiar to Michael Rose's contention that mortality rates do not increase amongst very old populations.

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#3 John Schloendorn

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Posted 03 August 2005 - 06:48 PM

Let's confine this type of reasoning to history books ;-)

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