No that is wrong. There was zero excess death after the COVID vaccines were rolled out in New Zealand, and before COVID arrived in NZ. You only find excess death when COVID appears, in any country.
This is not factually correct. New Zealand had very strict quarantining procedures and managed to keep covid infections and deaths at very low numbers until after the vaccine rollout. This can be seen from data that has recently become available.
An analysis of the data can be found here, for anyone up for a deep dive: https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/49688/
The author, Matt Briggs, is an expert statistician. All sides of the debate should note that he emphasizes that the data can only provide hints. No hard conclusions can be drawn because the leaked data does not include any people who received no shots at all; we can only compare the groups with different numbers of shots. He also gives a detailed analysis of why things are not necessarily what they seem to be at the first impression.
The data does show that the vaccines were introduced before much covid had arrived in New Zealand. This can be seen from the first two graphs.
The first graph shows monthly deaths among vaccinated people in NZ from early in 2021 to July of 2023; the lines represent people who received 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5+ shots. Apparently this is all-cause death. The graph shows a substantial peak in Jul-Aug 2021.
The second graph shows the weekly count of ascribed covid deaths in New Zealand, over roughly the same period. In Briggs’ words:
“Since, officially anyway, there were almost no ascribed covid deaths in 2021 in NZ, then the August peak in deaths for those who only had 1 or 2 shots could not be covid and had to be something else...The same is true for the January 2022 peak, which had only a handful of official covid deaths, but which saw a large number of people with 3 shots dying.”
So, deaths temporally correlated with the vaccines, not with covid. Of course this does not prove that the vaccines killed people, but it does show that something is not right, and more investigation needs to be done. This is clearly a case where excess deaths cannot be ascribed to covid.
An interesting thing happens as successive waves of covid deaths occur, along with booster campaigns. Briggs again:
“The next peak in deaths is those with 4 shots (and not any other number), in July 2022. That was the month with the largest officially ascribed covid deaths in NZ. Very few people with other shot quantities died during that month. And the same kind of thing, as you can see, happened with those with 5+ shot in May 2022, which was also a minor high in officially ascribed covid deaths.”
So it looks like those who were “up to date” fared worse than those who stopped after one or two shots. Remember, though, we are not seeing any comparison to those who were not vaccinated at all.
Edited by DanCG, 07 December 2023 - 03:39 AM.