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Average Age of 100 validated Oldest living people
#271
Posted 16 June 2012 - 09:02 PM
(70 supercentenarians)
Graph 'gets' postponed indefinitely.
#272
Posted 27 November 2012 - 05:46 PM
(67 supercentenarians)
#273
Posted 06 December 2012 - 09:02 AM
(65 supercentenarians)
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#274
Posted 07 December 2012 - 01:54 AM
#275
Posted 07 December 2012 - 03:46 AM
#276
Posted 09 March 2013 - 11:15 AM
(60 supercentenarians)
#277
Posted 09 March 2013 - 02:49 PM
#278
Posted 04 April 2013 - 07:44 PM
(57 supercentenarians)
#279
Posted 12 May 2013 - 05:14 AM

Edited by Suirsuss, 12 May 2013 - 05:15 AM.
#280
Posted 25 May 2013 - 06:23 PM
*Correction(s)/Change(s):
During the last years (and especially the last months) the number of validated 110-year-olds have decreased rapidly. According to the grg.org website the receiving and the processing/validating** older cases gets more priority. At this moment there are listed (http://grg.org/Adams/E.HTM):
1 116-year-old
1 115-year-old
1 114-year-old
12 113-year-olds
13 112-year-olds
28 111-year-olds
3 110-year-olds (listed below the main list)
There is a lag in validating 110-year-olds; by the time they get validated they either are dead or turned 111 year old.
It's 'fair' to consider at least as many 110-year-olds as 111-year-olds for the average age calculation. From now on, when calculating this average age, the number of 110-year-olds will be taken equal to that of 111-year-olds.
(along with this correction) Considering that this average age is presented in 4 significant figures, i.e. e.g. 110.6 years, and that on average people are roughly 'number'.5 years old (up to now, I have added only integer years when calculating the average age) a 0.5-years (half year) addition contributed to today's age increase.
These are the corrections/changes:
1. Number of 110-year-olds = Number of 111-year-olds (28 110-year-olds were considered today),
2. +0.5 years addjustment,
[from grg.org] **The actual estimated number of worldwide living supercentenarians is more likely to be between [300 - 450] persons.
#281
Posted 12 June 2013 - 09:38 AM
#282
Posted 28 June 2013 - 11:22 AM
#283
Posted 28 June 2013 - 08:57 PM
It is in fact fair to consider that the number of 110-years old is at least twice as much as the number of 111 year oldIt's 'fair' to consider at least as many 110-year-olds as 111-year-olds for the average age calculation. From now on, when calculating this average age, the number of 110-year-olds will be taken equal to that of 111-year-olds.
[font='Times New Roman', ', serif} ']een [300 - 450] persons.[/font]
Indeed the death rate at those ages is >=50%. This means that the number of 110 year old 365 days ago was at best guess greater than the double of number of 111 year old today. If the number of 110 is constant or increasing (as it seems to be), the number of 110 today is even greater.
Edited by AgeVivo, 28 June 2013 - 08:57 PM.
#284
Posted 29 June 2013 - 02:00 PM
* AgeVivo's guesstimate seems better. Therefore, in calculating the average age of 100 validated oldest living people, these are considered (http://grg.org/Adams/E.HTM):
1 115-year-old,
1 114-year-old,
11 113-year-olds,
13 112-year-olds,
30 111-year-olds,
44 110-year-olds (guesstimate).
[If it were to be done the one-month old way the average age of 100 validated oldest living people would be 111.3 years, based on:
1 115-year-old,
1 114-year-old,
11 113-year-olds,
13 112-year-olds,
30 111-year-olds,
30 110-year-olds ('one-month old' guesstimate),
14 109-year-olds (another guesstimate).]
Edited by struct, 29 June 2013 - 02:02 PM.
#285
Posted 18 August 2013 - 06:48 PM
#286
Posted 10 September 2013 - 12:18 PM
#287
Posted 23 October 2013 - 06:50 PM
#288
Posted 08 November 2013 - 11:33 AM
(There are only 6 validated living people born before the year 1900)
#289
Posted 17 November 2013 - 10:33 PM
(There are only 5 validated living people born before the year 1900)
#290
Posted 07 December 2013 - 02:14 PM
(There are only 5 validated living people born before the year 1900)
#291
Posted 20 January 2014 - 03:39 PM
Are you taking the second derivative of a function to obtain that result?
#292
Posted 22 January 2014 - 09:48 PM
#293
Posted 23 January 2014 - 08:33 AM
If you have a function describing the number of humans living to >100 years of age with respect to time and continuously updated, and differentiate this function you will get the speed at which people get to live to > 100, right? Differentiating it again will yield the acceleration of the function, which is the average rate of change pr. unit of time.indeed dS(t) = - r(t) S(t) + S(t) dWt so S(t) = exp(-integral r(t) dt + W(T)-W(0)) you take the second derivative, multiply by 3.1415 take the square root and add infinity and you get the first order approximation of the maximal human lifespan...
The function must have the right values.
Edited by Deep Thought, 23 January 2014 - 08:33 AM.
#294
Posted 25 January 2014 - 10:00 PM
Edited by AgeVivo, 25 January 2014 - 10:00 PM.
#295
Posted 23 February 2014 - 10:37 PM
(There are 5 people born before the year 1900)
#296
Posted 11 April 2014 - 03:23 PM
111.9 years
(There are 5 people born before the year 1900)
#297
Posted 05 June 2014 - 08:04 PM
112.0 years
(There are 5 people born before the year 1900)
#298
Posted 27 September 2014 - 06:47 PM
112.1 years
(There are at least 6 people born before the year 1900)
#299
Posted 09 August 2016 - 12:18 PM
112 years
(There is at least 1 person born before the year 1900)
Edited by struct, 09 August 2016 - 12:44 PM.
#300
Posted 28 February 2019 - 08:21 AM
I am expressing the Av. Age. of 100 Validated O. Living People into septenary numeral system since there are only 37 supercentenarians listed at http://www.grg.org/S...nkingsList.html and this way it requires less data extrapolation.
I.e.: 100 in septenary system = 49 in decimal system). If you don't like it this way refer to the last/past pages of this topic. For the advanced ones: expect at a later time a change of the unit of time. Wish you: All the best!
221 years (in Septenary System)
Edited by struct, 28 February 2019 - 08:22 AM.
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