Kismet, did you ever look at the consensus for yourself? I haven't. But look what Uffe Ravnskov found in this article when he did
I don't understand what is so difficult about the concept called burden of proof? I didn't check other forms of consensus, either: Vegetables and fruits being healthy*. The necessity of water for our survival. Obama being American citizen, 9/11 not being an inside-job, vaccine efficacy, the efficacy of HAART, the failure of homeopathy and quantum woo. I did not double-check the consensus that buildings and bridges are usually well built and do not fall apart when entering. I am not testing the consensus that a shotgun shot to the head hurts, if a someone robs the bank I'll stay put or run; there's no need to test the consensus. I don't have wings, consensus says I can't fly, won't double check, either.
We'd be long dead of old age before having double-checked all consensus statements that our life is built on.
We do not have to prove consensus, which exists to be relied on. The doubters ALWAYS (and this time caps is really justified) have to
disprove consensus and provide convincing arguments. Convincing in the sense that extraordinary claims, require extraordinary evidence.
*but thank doG I am actually interested in becoming an expert in the future so I
am taking the time to double-check the consensus. And I have usually tried to adress the points you made about nutrition in as far as I have read the literature or have had the time to do so. I even considered doing another post in the recent nutrition thread because you somehow misunderstood the MUFA vs SaFa argument I was making and that the evidence
you provided actually supports this viewpoint. However, you yourself surely now just how useless studies on total chol. are (and therefore my concise rebuttal to Jay's paper is justified and sufficient); TC was dropped as a good marker of CVD risk years if not decades ago. non-HDL TC, TC/HDL ratio perhaps?
Twenty-one studies were about surrogate outcomes. In most of the reports the authors claimed that saturated fat raises cholesterol. But again, high cholesterol is not a disease.
But high cholesterol
is a disease (and/or invariably linked to disease), that's another "consensus statement".
So what if the ''consensus'' you are reffering to isn't one? What if it was all made up?
No, look, that's not what consensus means. You can look it up in a dictionary, although, I am sure you know the meaning and were just trying to make a point. Consensus is a statement issued and accepted by most professionals of the field in question. Therefore the effects of sat. fat are consensus, which is
not a gurantee of truth, however.
IMHO the word you wanted to use is conspiracy (or some weaker derivative thereof; and I don't mean conspiracy in the tinfoil hat-sense), lapse or blunder. It is possible that certain dearly held consensus beliefs turn out to be scientific blind alleys, poltical blunders or even bona fide "conspiracies".
It seems weird that everyone looking at the data from themselves come to very different conclusion than the maintream one.
Well, I know at least one person whom I'd trust above most experts and who strongly supports the consensus and most likely has read the relevant literature.
You're right that the ''consensus'' is that SFAs raise TC. But does that means more mortality? That's the very important question afterall. So what if it raise your TC a bit if it doesn't kill you any faster?
High cholesterol
is a disease (and that's a shorthand for high TC, LDL & low HDL - dyslipidemia, obv.). That's another consensus statement that needs rebuttal if you want to make this point. And as I have certainly explained: If SaFas raise cholesterol and generally worsens important ratios and markers of disease, and they do (at least in virtually all studies I've seen), then they're 'guilty' by extension. If the evidence from RCTs is mixed we still need to be cautious. As long as there are no actual health benefits of SaFa we need to be cautious and
preemptively reduce intakes based on strong surrogate and good prospective data.
Blind belief in RCTs is *not* evidence-based medicine. A bad RCT will prove
nothing.Granted, if you're Joe Sixpack and don't care about optimal health, SaFa is not that much of a problem as the risks definitely seem overstated but real nonetheless.
Furthermore, yes, I do believe that the people you named may have an axe to grind and, no, I'd not trust their opinion over that of other health experts. Especially not after reading several (sometimes rather unconvincing and biased) articles "refuting" the consensus.
(BTW; I am not responding to 'NeverSayDie' as I can't help you anymore. However, I am
not putting you on
my ignore list so that I can warn people if and when you continue to post in this style
)
Edited by kismet, 25 December 2009 - 10:56 PM.