Posted 04 May 2005 - 07:30 PM
Not necessarily. It's a matter of perspective.
If I know nothing about society and the civilization in which I live, but I know how to read and I understand the meanings of the words—in other words, I understand the concepts, but not the context—then each of the 100 books would be just as likely to be the "true" book.
But now add context. When were the books written, and by whom? Who cites the books, or quotes from them, or writes books about them, or makes speeches about them, or uses those books as a guide to their lives?
And if I had 100 sets of "scriptures", each purported by one of the 100 debators to be the true and only word of God, which is more likely the correct one? Well, if the book they are holding was written this year, of five years ago, by a hippie in the woods of Oregon, or worse, by a stock broker, then it stands to reason that, regardless of whether any of the books is the true book, at least that particular book is far less likely to be the true book than one which has a history as extensive as the Bible or the Koran, or the teachings of Buddha. I hate to say it, but out of all the world's religions, the "mainstream" ones are more likely to be true by virtue of their being mainstream religions.
But yes, this only helps establish the likelihood that one religion is true relative to another. Establishing the likelihood that any of these religions is true is a fool's errand.