There are a few concerns that keep coming up in this forum that I would like to address while inviting further discussion:
1) Is the United States falling behind in science and technology?
My answer, in the form of a rhetorical question - "Does it really matter?" The "leap frog" phenomenon is apparent all over the world. Communications technology continues to evolve and spread. United States scientists, just like everyone else, are travelling more, spending more time abroad, reaching out to colleagues around the world. I simply do not understand how this concern even comes up in a section called "Singularity". The Technological Singularity cannot be enclosed by national borders...there is no need for patriotism.
2) Will governments stifle research?
Yes, I think they will, but they will not have much success. Why? Because the individuals involved are hypocritical and people change their mind. Let us look at some examples. The White House and President Bush have gone on the record saying he will veto affirmative stem cell legislation. Yet the same administration feels it is okay to pump money into advancing the capabilities of military robotics and automation. Meanwhile, Britain has become the second country to successfuly clone humans and South Korea has shocked even the most supportive experts in cloning and stem cell research with their rapid progress. This rapid acceleration in technological progress (which includes stem cell research, robotics, automation, cloning, etc.) doesn't care what feeds its growth and in what combinations. I think progress is running blindly into the future beyond any imposed control.
3) Will the future be better? Worse?
Transhumanists and extropians are too optimistic, bioluddites and religious fundamentalists are too pessimistic, and I continue to see both extremes in these forums. The future is not better or worse overall, it is just very, very, very different. I do not honestly think that the advent of artificial intelligence and nanotechnology will solve all problems, nor do I think they will eat us. They might solve some problems, but there will be new problems and challenges for emergent intelligences (see Werking's "The Posthuman Condition"). Will a posthuman be truly happy and better off? It seems to me that posthumans will have a whole new canvas on which they can paint happy or sad existences, a canvas that stretches far beyond the confines of our own existence.
Next, I include my own concerns about our current discussion regarding the future and the Technological Singularity:
4) Heteronormative, homonormative, and human-centric biases.
We are necessarily selfish when we consider our own future. However, by being selfish we miss other trends that will play an important part in shaping that future. For example,
while transhumanists tend to be more inclusive of LGBT individuals, biases continue to be hetero- and homonormative in composition. I prefer to think of the future in terms of so-called "freaks". How do all these technological changes affect the intersexual, the swinger, the fetishist, the pedophile, the asexual...and how do they affect the future in turn? Remember, all of us humans are being swept up into these changes, bringing with us our own profiles.
Beyond humanity itself, what ranges of personalities, interests and fetishes will we discover in emergent intelligences (consider the sex life of a chimera, for example)? Who and what has investment in the future and how might they/it try to maintain their/its biases? When do we start including vegetable, mineral, and animal players in our discussions and our plans? The Technological Singularity is asking all of us who and what we consider to be part of the future. I really do not think we have any choice in the matter, but there will be a great deal of pain if we do not keep trying to stretch our brains around these concepts.
5) The Chasm between the Humanities and the Natural Sciences
In this forum we see a great deal of discussion informed by natural science and philosophy (a practice I absolutely support and even demand) but much less so by the humanities, including cultural studies. Furthermore, any such discussion too often highlights the chasm between the humanities and the natural sciences, rather than an interdisciplinary approach. Both spheres are increasingly being kept separate by their practitioners and I find that dangerous. I recently took an LGBT Studies course and saw natural science dismissed outright time and time again, when it wasn't being attacked. I also know scientists who have no time for cultural studies, even as the results of their research sweep through society.
I will sum up abruptly by stating that I dismiss the first three concerns as being inconsequential. I find the fourth and fifth to be very serious. Feel free to disagree and discuss!