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AI soars past the turing test

chatgpt turing test

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#151 ambivalent

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Posted 03 June 2025 - 03:22 PM

Thanks AD, that's very interesting.

 

I was struggling for a metaphor the other day - I don't have many but the speed of light came to mind, the increasing mass is limiting - more and more energy needed for marginal gains in speed. It has felt that  with all of this mass of information, subtly and insights become lost, and so more isn't going to be better, naturally - just worse. I go back to Chomsky when around 2 and half years ago, a few months before his stroke, he said that human-intelligence is about making connections on very limited information. It seems we are designed mostly very well for this, unsurprisingly, though harsh evolution - these models seems the opposite (to me) - fairly simple in design (a big matrix) with an overwhelming amount of information to make judgements upon. 

 

 

If the model is built on ever increasing mass, we can imagine the struggle. Humans seem a little like this we start out as children with wide "varaince" making weird and unusal connections adults don't, this seems to decline with  an ever gorwing mass of information. It is interesting that a reported trait of several geniuses were that they reamained playful. Sometimes we see experts switch fields and make major breakthroughs, they know less but are able to make unusual connections and solve hard problems.

 

 

At the end, I was a little surprised by this:

 

"In the context of large language models, research found that training LLMs on predecessor-generated text — language models are trained on the synthetic data produced by previous models — causes a consistent decrease in the lexical, syntactic, and semantic diversity of the model outputs through successive iterations, notably remarkable for tasks demanding high levels of creativity"

 

 

This seems like a bad design idea, the models don't know reality, and then external world stops being a stimulus - the information they received were it seemed, analagous to the shadows in Plato's cave, anyhow. Once it starts using itself, it's own answers, as learning, then there may become fairground-mirror images of those shadows - and eventually lost through interations of these images. Beliefs in this model seem reinforced by itself - a pseudo stimulus, rather than the reality it is trying to understand, it would seem.

 

I must admit there does seem a blandness to AI at times. It both seems creative but missing it at the same time. 

 

Again thanks, that was very interersting - it does seem in line with the experience that these models haven't developed as hoped. I didn't run through the maths, that skill is presently flat-packed in the ivory tower loft! Another one of our useful evolutionary-adaptations it seems - it's been years since I rode a bicycle too!  

 

 

(I was rushed in the previous post, there a few errors which completely inverted the meaning of the sentence, but hopefully the general direction and context of the post made this fairly clear!) 

 


Edited by ambivalent, 03 June 2025 - 03:27 PM.


#152 Mind

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Posted 04 June 2025 - 03:49 PM

I don't understand why all this hate towards AI. Even if AI turns out to be just a great information grinder and pattern recognition tool, it will catapult knowledge and advances in biosciences and various health-related areas that it would take us measly humans decades and centuries to do. 

 

There is absolutely no way we get anywhere close to beating aging or achieving LEV without the help of AI to compress decades and centuries of advances in just years. 

 

Sure there are risks but that is so with any new technology. The more powerful the technology the higher the risks; we as a species must find ways to contain and manage them. Otherwise we might as well go back to the caves and back to using sticks and stones, there's certainly no existential risk there (until an asteroid or something else wipes us out).

 

I don't hate AI, I just don't like the way it is being used so far.

 

We are not getting solutions to aging. AI isn't solving nuclear fusion for energy. AI isn't curing cancer. AI isn't developing new propulsion for rockets, etc... Sure it is assisting in some ways, but it is not directly solving anything. Ever since the 1960s, AI optimists have been predicting. It hasn't arrived yet.

 

Consider that we have had supercomputers, massive data storage, world-wide collaboration, and automated lab equipment for a few decades now - all leveraged toward curing diseases and aging, yet we have nothing. I am unsure that the current AI will help, except for tiny incremental steps.

 

Why I am not completely optimistic about AGI in the near future is because of the current trends. AI is being used to kill people in war, control the population, and create a massive cybercrime industry. Students in school are becoming less smart and less creative because they are relying upon AI to "do their homework". Coders use AI even though its error rate is over 30%.

 

Since the debut of ChatGPT in 2023 all of the advancements in AI have been to make ever more realistic digital videos, audio, media. It is hard to fathom how much time and energy is being spent on making digital videos. Hardly anything is being done about aging.



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#153 Advocatus Diaboli

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Posted 04 June 2025 - 04:45 PM

Here is some of the "Hardly anything is being done about aging." with regard to AI:

From DeepSeek AI:

Recent advances in AI for aging research (often called "Longevity AI") are accelerating breakthroughs in understanding, diagnosing, and even reversing age-related decline. Here are some key developments:

1. AI in Drug Discovery for Aging (Senolytics, Rapamycin Analogs, etc.)
  • Target Identification: AI models (e.g., DeepMind’s AlphaFold, Insilico Medicine’s GAN-based platforms) predict protein structures and identify aging-related drug targets (e.g., senescent cell markers, mTOR pathways).

  • Repurposing Existing Drugs: AI screens FDA-approved drugs for anti-aging potential (e.g., rapamycin analogs, metformin combinations).

  • ExampleInsilico Medicine used AI to design a senolytic drug (targeting aging cells) now in clinical trials.

2. AI-Powered Biomarkers of Aging ("Aging Clocks")
  • Epigenetic Clocks: AI (e.g., DeepMAge, Horvath’s Clock) analyzes DNA methylation to predict biological age.

  • Multi-Omics Clocks: AI integrates data from genomics, proteomics, metabolomics to track aging (e.g., Altos Labs’ AI models).

  • Wearable Data: Companies like Deep Longevity (Human Longevity Inc.) use AI to predict aging from smartwatch/sensor data.

3. Early Disease Detection (Alzheimer’s, Cancer, CVD)
  • Retinal Scans: Google’s DeepMind can predict cardiovascular risk & Alzheimer’s from eye images.

  • Voice Analysis: AI detects Parkinson’s & cognitive decline from speech patterns (e.g., Winterlight Labs).

  • Blood Tests: Startups like GRAIL use AI to detect early-stage cancer from liquid biopsies.

4. Personalized Longevity Medicine
  • AI-Driven Interventions: Companies like Lifespan.io and Elysium Health use AI to recommend personalized supplements, diets, and exercise plans based on biomarkers.

  • Gene Therapy Optimization: AI helps design CRISPR-based therapies for age-related gene editing (e.g., Rejuvenate Bio’s work in dogs).

5. Robotics & AI for Elderly Care
  • Social Robots: AI-powered companions (e.g., ElliQ by Intuition Robotics) reduce loneliness.

  • Fall Detection: AI in smart homes (e.g., Samsung’s SARA robot) monitors elderly mobility.

  • Exoskeletons: AI-assisted suits (e.g., SuitX) help seniors maintain mobility.

6. AI in Caloric Restriction & Fasting Mimetics
  • Nutrient Sensing: AI models (e.g., Nutricia’s algorithms) optimize fasting-mimicking diets.

  • Gut Microbiome Analysis: AI (e.g., Seed Health’s platform) suggests probiotics for longevity.

Key Players in AI & Longevity
Company/Institution Focus Area Insilico Medicine AI-designed anti-aging drugs Altos Labs (Jeff Bezos-backed) Cellular reprogramming via AI Calico Labs (Google/Alphabet) AI for aging biomarkers Deep Longevity Epigenetic aging clocks Life Biosciences Mitochondrial repair via AI
Future Outlook
  • Clinical Trials: AI is speeding up trials for senolytics, NAD+ boosters, and telomere therapies.

  • Digital Twins: AI creates virtual patient models to simulate aging interventions.

  • Ethical AI: Debates on AI bias in aging research (e.g., underrepresentation of elderly in datasets).



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#154 forever freedom

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Posted 04 June 2025 - 05:04 PM

I don't hate AI, I just don't like the way it is being used so far.

 

We are not getting solutions to aging. AI isn't solving nuclear fusion for energy. AI isn't curing cancer. AI isn't developing new propulsion for rockets, etc... Sure it is assisting in some ways, but it is not directly solving anything. Ever since the 1960s, AI optimists have been predicting. It hasn't arrived yet.

 

Consider that we have had supercomputers, massive data storage, world-wide collaboration, and automated lab equipment for a few decades now - all leveraged toward curing diseases and aging, yet we have nothing. I am unsure that the current AI will help, except for tiny incremental steps.

 

Why I am not completely optimistic about AGI in the near future is because of the current trends. AI is being used to kill people in war, control the population, and create a massive cybercrime industry. Students in school are becoming less smart and less creative because they are relying upon AI to "do their homework". Coders use AI even though its error rate is over 30%.

 

Since the debut of ChatGPT in 2023 all of the advancements in AI have been to make ever more realistic digital videos, audio, media. It is hard to fathom how much time and energy is being spent on making digital videos. Hardly anything is being done about aging.

 

I agree that AI is still very far from fulfilling what we expect from it, because expectations are so high. But AI has already gave us Alpha Fold, it was also essential for us to quickly develop an anti COVID vaccine, and it's increasingly being used to find novel molecules and drugs that then need time for trials, and many other examples.

 

Compared to what we expect from it, it still falls short; the expectations are sky high. Here the good ol' lake analogy seems appropriate. Start with a drop in the lake, double it, and after X doublings the lake is full. But at just 5 doublings before X, we can barely see water in the lake, with only 3% of it filled. I believe we are a few steps/"doublings" before the true takeoff and where the magic happens. You talk about us already having decades of supercomputers and other computing technologies, we have been slowly filling the lake, doubling the water in it, for decades now. We are reaching the tipping point.

 

I already can't imagine myself living without AI; I already find it incredibly useful in my daily life. It's certainly already the most incredible tool to come about in a very very long time.

 

AGI is just around the corner, and soon thereafter we shall get the big scientific advances you ask about, and that I agree with you we have not yet achieved. 







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