http://www.nytimes.c...all&oref=slogin
That's a depressing article..
I don't know, I find it kind of interesting.
)
Even if they will be developed, it dosen't imply that we're living in one..
Yes, that is the point. If it is possible that it will be developed, then for every instance of it occurring, that is another chance for us to be inside of the simulation. If we develop it and ran the simulation (again, all of the thought history of everyone that has ever lived into less than a second taking up less than 1% of the computer only using currently understood design principles) that would mean that it is possible, and the people that we simulated would have no idea they were simulated. Multiply this by however many universes that you think might conceivably exist, which would then be multiplied by however many civilizations that you think might ever have existed in the average universe advanced enough to run such a simulation (or if you think ours is the only universe, then however many you think have existed or will exist over the course of the life of our universe), and multiply that by how many of the said computer you think each civilization would build over the course of their existence, and multiply that by how many simulations on each computer that you think would be run over the life of the computer, then multiply that by how many simulations within simulations (how many simulations the simulators will run) on the average individual simulation. Whatever number you get (probably astronomically high), then those are the odds (1 in 10^40 or whatever number you got, sub for 10^40) that we live in a "top level" environment and not a simulation. It would make me uneasy if the odds were 1 in 2 (50%), but I fear the odds are much lower than that.
(btw, I merged the relevant parts of that other thread with this one)