My point was that the theoretical steady state weight that could be sustained after a 50% cut in calories would be below the steady state weight necessary to continue living.
There's no way in hell you'd be able to do 33% CR from you current BMI, you'd simply die of starvation.
I do indeed have a slow metabolism ("softgainer") and I know numerous people with a similar type of metabolism who are on a CR anywhere in between 20-50% and everybody of them (myself included) have reached a new steady state (without further weight loss) that is far above and beyond your "35 kg" mark of death.
It is certainly true that people with a very different metabolism (e.g. people who are very lean even when eating a lot) may suffer from detrimental or even critical weight loss even while on a much more modest CR diet.
But I wouldn't consider myself and people I described above as extreme outliers either.
It may be that those who accurately gauge their own calorie intakes are the extreme outliers; which could explain a lot of what you've said here.....
How did you, and for how long, did you measure your calorie intake and weight?
Merely waving around "huge adaptional capabilities" without sufficient evidence doesn't do anything to support your claims.
Everybody who has ever attempted to merely lose some weight can witness the tremendous increase of energy efficiency that comes along with CR.
I don't have much trust in "everybodies" ability to accurately and objectively quantify much of their personal behaviour, including in the often pathologically biased areas of dieting, food intake and bodyweight. The fact that you use the anecdotal experience of the masses to try to support your argument sets off alarm bells for me.
I haven't searched systematically, but just from a simple 3-klick search here is the first reference I came across (which most likely isn't even the best one but just the first one I stumbled across) and which supports quite substantial adaptations of energy metabolism/energy expenditure during CR, thus making all those nice formulas you presented above totally unusable to predict weight loss from a given amount of CR.
Look here:
American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, Vol 49, 93-96, Copyright © 1989 by The American Society for Clinical Nutrition, Inc
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ORIGINAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS
Sustained depression of the resting metabolic rate after massive weight loss
DL Elliot, L Goldberg, KS Kuehl and WM Bennett
Division of General Medicine, Oregon Health Sciences University, Portland.
To assess potential long-term effects of weight loss on resting metabolic rate (RMR), the RMRs of seven obese women were measured by indirect calorimetry before weight loss, during a protein-sparing modified fast, and for 2 mo while at a stable reduced weight. Body composition was also determined at each interval. RMR significantly decreased 22% (p less than 0.01) with initiation of the modified fast. RMR values during the modified fast and during the maintenance diet at stable reduced weight were not different and all were significantly lower than the prediet RMR. Loss of lean tissue could not account for the decrease because changes in RMR per fat-free mass paralleled the total RMR reduction. A sustained decrement in RMR accompanied weight loss and persisted for greater than or equal to 8 wk despite increased caloric consumption and body weight stabilization.
Whether or not
long-term caloric restriction leads to increased metabolic efficiency is an interesting and maybe still unsettled issue. I personally haven't studied it enough to feel confident in commenting too much about it.
The thread-starter said they had a BMI of 20.1, didn't want to drop below a final BMI of 18, and was discussing a CR level of 33%. The Mifflin-St Jeor equations suggest no more than about 5% calorie restriction is possible, that leaves around 30% unaccounted for. Could increased metabolic efficiency from CR account for the missing ~30%? I'm doubtful.
It would be great if increased metabolic efficiency were significant, and might even convince me to give serious CR a shot(a higher viable restriction level would be expected to lead to greater life extension), but so far I'm unconvinced.
Here's an interesting post about some of these issues by Michael Rae(who seems to believe that the evidence suggests that if there are any such effects they are transitory):
"Basal Metabolic Rate (BMR) as a biomarker for Calorie Restriction (CR)"
http://www.crsociety...0938#msg-180938