I have been behind the times. I had been telling people of the doubling of performance every 18 months. Then I realized that this was only true when I started telling people that. Now it is more like 12 months.
I would argue that Moore's law really doesn't capture the true nature of advancing tech and is a bad example. The real thing to keep an eye on is the emergence from the intersection of numerous technologies and concepts. These are difficult to measure but I would suspect that they'll show up in larger demographic studies over the next few decades in regards to impact on medical advancements, social trends and disruptive technologies like renewable energies, electric cars, etc.
P.S.: Nice credit for the image [tung]
[thumb] The computational attack on biological complexity will produce more medical advancements and rejuvenation therapies in the 2020s than everything we've discovered and will discover up to 2019.