I believe that mind-uploading will be achieved shortly after or before the AI because the technology is required to create an AI in the first place. But this is just the opinion of a non-professional.
Edited by Nihilated, 11 May 2008 - 10:27 PM.
Posted 11 May 2008 - 10:26 PM
Edited by Nihilated, 11 May 2008 - 10:27 PM.
Posted 11 May 2008 - 11:05 PM
Based on the progress we are reaching - software and hardware - do you think that the first (general) human-level AI will be developed during the 2020s decade? How about mind-uploading?
I believe that mind-uploading will be achieved shortly after or before the AI because the technology is required to create an AI in the first place. But this is just the opinion of a non-professional.
Posted 11 May 2008 - 11:10 PM
Posted 11 May 2008 - 11:18 PM
Human level AI by the 2020s is slightly less plausible than the Second Coming.
Posted 12 May 2008 - 02:17 AM
What is your reasoning behind this? I completely disagree.I believe that mind-uploading will be achieved shortly after or before the AI because the technology is required to create an AI in the first place
Posted 12 May 2008 - 03:02 AM
What is your reasoning behind this? I completely disagree.
Posted 12 May 2008 - 03:37 AM
Posted 12 May 2008 - 06:39 AM
Posted 12 May 2008 - 09:43 PM
I think soon after... soon after an AGI.Nvm that then. Do you think mind-uploading will be around soon after AI?
Posted 12 May 2008 - 10:48 PM
Now these predictions are based on a few premises. First, that moore's law and the law of accelerating returns don't crack. Second, that no major disaster will happen. And third, that the software requires to build an AI doesn't take too long to be developed due to unforeseen difficulties (which could delay it by centuries and i wouldn't be alive to see it and that would suck).
Posted 12 May 2008 - 10:56 PM
But if neuroscience can map out all of the interneuronal connections in the brain, can't the software be implemented the "hard" way by just copying everything that is in the brain? I'm sure this can't happen anytime after 2030.
Posted 13 May 2008 - 12:31 AM
Posted 25 May 2008 - 10:04 PM
Edited by brainbox, 25 May 2008 - 10:06 PM.
Posted 25 May 2008 - 10:13 PM
Based on the progress we are reaching - software and hardware - do you think that the first (general) human-level AI will be developed during the 2020s decade? How about mind-uploading?
I believe that mind-uploading will be achieved shortly after or before the AI because the technology is required to create an AI in the first place. But this is just the opinion of a non-professional.
Posted 31 May 2008 - 11:28 PM
Posted 10 June 2008 - 01:25 AM
Posted 10 June 2008 - 05:10 PM
I voted yes. Considering that ten years ago the pentium 2 came out with a blazing 233 MHz, and later this year or early 2009 Intel will be selling 8 core cpu's, probably in the 3 GHz range, 24 GHz total, which would be about 103 times what the pentium 2 was, I wouldn't underestimate the computer industry. At that rate by 2030 PC's will be 10,000 times what they are now. And the military will no doubt have supercomputers 100,000 times better than that. There are even "cpu's" being made out of actual brain cells in some lab somewhere, so if you consider that then AI is already here. That could easily advance way past human intelligence in short order. Also, people don't exactly use their brains to the full extent. Computers have long been able to do things that people could not do. People arn't special, most people don't even have "AI".... "I"... whatever....
Posted 10 June 2008 - 08:08 PM
I voted yes. Considering that ten years ago the pentium 2 came out with a blazing 233 MHz, and later this year or early 2009 Intel will be selling 8 core cpu's, probably in the 3 GHz range, 24 GHz total, which would be about 103 times what the pentium 2 was, I wouldn't underestimate the computer industry. At that rate by 2030 PC's will be 10,000 times what they are now. And the military will no doubt have supercomputers 100,000 times better than that. There are even "cpu's" being made out of actual brain cells in some lab somewhere, so if you consider that then AI is already here. That could easily advance way past human intelligence in short order. Also, people don't exactly use their brains to the full extent. Computers have long been able to do things that people could not do. People arn't special, most people don't even have "AI".... "I"... whatever....
Yes the hardware is not disappointing but what about the software? The best i've seen out there is blue brain. All i hear is people talking about how we are increasingly knowing more and more about the brain but is that enough i ask myself? Maybe we aren't advancing fast enough to get the software to create an AI until as soon as 2030.
Posted 15 August 2008 - 12:31 AM
Posted 20 September 2008 - 02:43 PM
Posted 14 October 2008 - 05:48 AM
Posted 10 November 2008 - 12:34 AM
I voted yes. Considering that ten years ago the pentium 2 came out with a blazing 233 MHz, and later this year or early 2009 Intel will be selling 8 core cpu's, probably in the 3 GHz range, 24 GHz total, which would be about 103 times what the pentium 2 was, I wouldn't underestimate the computer industry. At that rate by 2030 PC's will be 10,000 times what they are now. And the military will no doubt have supercomputers 100,000 times better than that. There are even "cpu's" being made out of actual brain cells in some lab somewhere, so if you consider that then AI is already here. That could easily advance way past human intelligence in short order. Also, people don't exactly use their brains to the full extent. Computers have long been able to do things that people could not do. People arn't special, most people don't even have "AI".... "I"... whatever....
Edited by suspire, 10 November 2008 - 12:36 AM.
Posted 11 November 2008 - 03:28 PM
Edited by luv2increase, 11 November 2008 - 03:31 PM.
Posted 11 November 2008 - 03:48 PM
I put most likely no.
I put this because look how long nature devoid of any intelligence "created" the first human being. It took billions of years for her to create us. How can we expect "with intelligence" to create this in a matter of measly years? I know that AI won't be as advanced as we are even though mother nature albeit devoid of any intelligence created us, but I just don't think we primitive lifeforms will be able to pull off a feat. I bet if we just let mother nature take her course, she'd create AI in another few billion years. Hey, it'll take her more time, but she sure did a great job with us
Think about it. Mother nature is smarter than us, her creation, isn't she?
Posted 11 November 2008 - 07:41 PM
Posted 12 November 2008 - 04:25 AM
Posted 12 November 2008 - 06:01 AM
Weak AI should do the job, not only would it be much easier software but it still leave humans in charge.
I'm very uncomfortable with strong AI particularly if it decides we are the problem.
And it could probably be achieved in the next 10 years
Posted 12 November 2008 - 07:43 PM
The new person should address to a source of mind of the former person. For this purpose it is necessary to download memory of the former person on the computer and after to address to data in process of occurrence of questions in the new person.
And if to connect neuron that it is better to connect a brain to the biomolecular computer. So it is possible to hold in remembrance.
Edited by bobscrachy, 12 November 2008 - 07:44 PM.
Posted 13 November 2008 - 01:26 PM
Not at all.i don't know how anyone can't want strong AI to be developed, it's just based on senseless fear of the unknown.
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