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are you a good forecaster?

risks forecasting future studies

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4 replies to this topic

#1 caliban

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Posted 20 December 2019 - 11:13 AM


predict 2020+ events

 

https://www.gjopen.com/challenges



#2 kurdishfella

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Posted 21 December 2019 - 05:43 AM

my predictions I will just type them here: Superpower USA will come to an end after 2020 and there will be another american civil war soon after.


Edited by farshad, 21 December 2019 - 05:44 AM.

  • unsure x 1
  • Disagree x 1

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#3 joesixpack

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Posted 09 January 2020 - 05:00 AM

my predictions I will just type them here: Superpower USA will come to an end after 2020 and there will be another american civil war soon after.

 

We will find out after the election in November. Highly unlikely based on current events.



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#4 orion22

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Posted 13 January 2020 - 10:32 PM

ray dalio waren bufet and many more predicted the stock market is going to crush in 2020 i predict it will have a bitcoin effect where even if companies don t have any plan to get profits they stock market will still go up because people won t just keep in cash doing nothing knowing it will go up over 20 years 



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#5 Lazarus Long

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Posted 29 December 2020 - 01:36 PM

Hello again, I feel I owe my old home a visit. I hope everyone weathered the pandemic storm well and soon the sky should clear.

Seeing this thread made me think about what a great opportunity to fact check predictions and make a few more.

Making predictions is a tricky business. I have found a dilemma when making my own. I have the ability with investments (and politics) to define future trends very accurately, but I do not have the necessary understanding of human psychology, or perhaps the emotional intelligence to get the timing of events for those trends precisely. That's often the difference between a moderate profit versus vast windfall wealth.

So what trends and events are we to see in the coming year? And to make it more interesting, let's make a few decade predictions too. It is after all the beginning of a new one.





Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: risks, forecasting, future studies

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